Casa Garza Jasso ← Finanzas
Home Luis Pau

Pau Portfolio

Investment Thesis 2026 — Portfolio OverviewTotal: $1,108,177↻ IR 2026 Aligned — Feb 18, 2026

✨ AI-Driven Consumer Innovation MED
DUOL ZETA SHOP
$61,796
5.6%
📱 End-Game AI / On-Device HIGH
AAPL
$23,361
2.1%
🖥 Platform & Tech Leaders
UBER AMZN MSFT TCEHY BABA
$91,569
8.3%
🌎 LatAm Digital Finance HIGH
NU MELI
$178,593
16.1%
⚕️ Healthcare Disruption MED
OSCR HIMS
$26,121
2.4%
🇲🇽 Mexico / Nearshoring
IPOAF GMBXF GPAGF SABA CYDSA
$154,722
14.0%
🛍️ Consumer Brands
COST LULU WMT LVMUY DIS
$77,383
7.0%
💵 Fixed Income & Cash
TBILLS3 TBILLS1 TBILLS4 TBILLS2 RJ BANK DEP
$494,632
44.6%

📋 Thesis Breakdown

AI-Driven Consumer Innovation MED
$61,796 · 5.6% of portfolio
SHOP$32,3212.9%
DUOL$14,8661.3%
ZETA$14,6101.3%
IR 2026 Theme 02 — MED conviction. Software platforms embedding AI to unlock pricing power. SHOP: AI merchant intelligence driving GMV attach rates. DUOL: AI tutors driving DAU and subscription ARPU growth. ZETA: AI marketing cloud displacing legacy ad-tech. Well-positioned allocation.
📱
End-Game AI / On-Device HIGH
$23,361 · 2.1% of portfolio — INCOMPLETE: missing GOOGL
AAPL$23,3612.1%
IR 2026 Theme 03 — HIGH conviction. AAPL held: Apple Intelligence iPhone supercycle, 1.5B+ devices, Services $100B+ annualized. GOOGL missing: owns Search + Gemini + Android + Cloud — the complementary half of the On-Device thesis. Per IR 2026, both are required for full exposure. Add GOOGL to complete this HIGH conviction theme.
🖥
Platform & Tech Leaders
$91,569 · 8.3% of portfolio
UBER$48,3264.4%
AMZN$20,5931.9%
MSFT$19,6561.8%
TCEHY$1,5810.1%
BABA$1,4130.1%
Mixed-conviction tech exposure. UBER: AI-powered logistics platform, robotaxi optionality with Waymo partnership — strong free cash flow. AMZN: AWS hyperscaler (AI Infra adjacent) + IR 2026 Gap Analysis pick. MSFT: Note — per IR 2026 updated framework, MSFT operates at the application/platform layer (Copilot, Azure services) rather than capturing compute infrastructure economics directly. Not categorized as AI Infrastructure. TCEHY/BABA: speculative China recovery bet, tiny sizing.
🌎
LatAm Digital Finance HIGH
$178,593 · 16.1% of portfolio
NU$166,53215.0%
MELI$12,0611.1%
IR 2026 Theme 05 — HIGH conviction. NU at 15% is above IR 2026 recommended cap but reflects a core conviction. World's largest digital bank, 110M+ customers. MELI: $200B+ annual payments TPV — add on dips to build this position. NU concentration is less critical than in DiLuPa given the large cash buffer available for diversification.
⚕️
Healthcare Disruption MED
$26,121 · 2.4% of portfolio
OSCR$15,7721.4%
HIMS$10,3490.9%
IR 2026 Gap Analysis (healthcare disruption layer). OSCR: disruptive health insurance via value-based care. HIMS: telehealth platform capturing GLP-1 compounding demand. Small allocation — room to add. Missing: LLY/NVO — the core GLP-1 Revolution (IR 2026 Theme 06). These complete the healthcare picture.
🇲🇽
Mexico / Nearshoring
$154,722 · 14.0% of portfolio
IPOAF$53,4244.8%
GMBXF$52,9084.8%
GPAGF$22,2602.0%
SABA$15,9801.4%
CYDSA$10,1500.9%
IR 2026 Gap Analysis theme — Mexico nearshoring. Mexico received $170B+ in FDI in 2023–2024, becoming US #1 trading partner. IPOAF (ICA infrastructure), GMBXF (Grupo Banorte banking), GPAGF (Grupo Aeroportuario). Key risk: USMCA renegotiation 2026 and tariff threats. EWW (Mexico ETF) as a diversification option for this theme.
🛍️
Consumer Brands
$77,383 · 7.0% of portfolio
COST$25,1732.3%
LVMUY$19,6831.8%
DIS$14,6711.3%
WMT$13,3161.2%
LULU$4,5400.4%
Quality consumer brands with pricing power. COST: membership moat, recession-resilient. WMT: AI supply chain transformation, advertising revenue growing. LVMUY: luxury pricing power hedge. DIS: streaming Theme 11 (LOW conviction per IR 2026) — ESPN DTC is an optionality play. LULU: premium athletic brand.
💵
Fixed Income & Cash — 44.6% is significant opportunity cost
$494,632 · 44.6% of portfolio
TBILLS3$246,17522.2%
TBILLS1$98,8008.9%
TBILLS4$78,6887.1%
TBILLS2$59,2325.3%
RJ BANK DEP$11,7371.1%
T-bills earning 4–5% yield — not bad, but with 6 missing IR 2026 themes, this is the deployment capital. IR 2026 target: 5–10% cash/gold. Redeploy $150–200K into equities over 12 months, prioritizing HIGH conviction gaps (AI Infra, Nuclear, Data Centers). Keep $100K minimum as tactical dry powder.

🔍 IR 2026 Framework — Theme Coverage

How Pau's portfolio maps to the 12 Investment Research 2026 themes · Updated Feb 18, 2026

IR 2026 Theme Conviction Pau Portfolio Exposure Coverage
🤖 AI Infrastructure & Compute HIGH 0% — MSFT/AMZN are application layer per IR 2026, not AI Infra compute ❌ MISSING (HIGH)
✨ AI-Driven Consumer Innovation MED SHOP (2.9%), DUOL (1.3%), ZETA (1.3%) ✅ COVERED
📱 End-Game AI / On-Device HIGH AAPL (2.1%) — missing GOOGL (half the thesis) ⚠ INCOMPLETE
⚡ Nuclear Renaissance HIGH 0% — no CEG, CCJ, SMR, NLR/URA ETFs ❌ MISSING (HIGH)
🌎 LatAm Digital Finance HIGH NU (15.0%), MELI (1.1%) ✅ COVERED
💊 Healthcare / GLP-1 Revolution MED OSCR (1.4%), HIMS (0.9%) — no LLY/NVO (core GLP-1 picks) ⚠ ADJACENT ONLY
🔩 Copper Supercycle MED 0% — no FCX, SCCO, COPX ETF, CPER ETF ❌ MISSING (MED)
🔥 Natural Gas / Energy Transition MED 0% — no EQT, CTRA, LNG, FCG ETF ❌ MISSING (MED)
🛡 Defense & Geopolitics MID 0% — no LMT, RTX ❌ MISSING (MID)
₿ Crypto & Digital Assets MED 0% — no COIN, BTC ETF, ETHA ❌ MISSING (MED)
🎬 Streaming & Content LOW DIS (1.3%) — LOW conviction per IR 2026 ⚠ LOW PRIORITY
🏗 Data Centers & Infrastructure HIGH 0% — no VRT, EQIX, DLR ❌ MISSING (HIGH)
🇲🇽 Mexico / Nearshoring MED (Gap Analysis) IPOAF (4.8%), GMBXF (4.8%), GPAGF (2.0%), SABA (1.4%), CYDSA (0.9%) ✅ UNIQUE EDGE

⚠️ Portfolio Gaps vs IR 2026 Framework

✅ Priority Actions to Align with IR 2026

Redeploy T-Bills -$150K over 12 months Systematic tranches
FOUNDATION — enables everything else. Redeploy $150K from T-bills over 12 months into the 6 missing IR 2026 themes. Keep $100K minimum as tactical dry powder. Rate cuts will compress T-bill yields — the opportunity cost of holding 44.6% in cash grows each quarter.
NVDA + MU NVDA $25K + MU $20K · 4.1% NVDA ≤ $200 / MU ≤ $105
HIGH PRIORITY — IR 2026 Theme 01 (HIGH conviction). AI Infrastructure is completely absent. NVDA: GPU backbone of the AI arms race. MU: HBM3e champion — every NVIDIA Blackwell GPU requires MU's memory; direct AI infrastructure exposure. Per IR 2026, MSFT/AMZN are NOT AI infrastructure — these two are the real compute picks.
GOOGL $25K · 2.3% Buy ≤ $310
HIGH PRIORITY — IR 2026 Theme 03 (HIGH conviction). Completes the On-Device AI thesis alongside AAPL. GOOGL owns Search + Gemini + Android + Cloud — the most capable multimodal AI stack. Trading at ~23x fwd earnings, cheap vs AI peers. AAPL + GOOGL together = the device+OS+AI layer that matters most long-term.
VRT $20K · 1.8% Buy ≤ $260
HIGH PRIORITY — IR 2026 Theme 12 (HIGH conviction). Vertiv is the dominant power and thermal management provider for AI data centers. Liquid cooling is mandatory for Blackwell density — every hyperscaler cluster needs VRT systems. TAM expanding from $14B → $35B by 2028. Data Centers is HIGH conviction and completely absent from this portfolio.
NLR ETF $20K · 1.8% Buy any
HIGH PRIORITY — IR 2026 Theme 04 (HIGH conviction). NLR (VanEck Uranium+Nuclear ETF) is the IR 2026 recommended vehicle for nuclear exposure — diversified basket without single-name risk. Nuclear is the only 24/7 carbon-free power for AI data centers. URA ETF (uranium miners) is the alternative. CEG (Constellation) available as single name if preferred.
COPX + FCG COPX $15K + FCG $15K · 2.7% COPX ≤ $42 / FCG any
MED PRIORITY — IR 2026 Themes 07+08 (MED conviction). COPX ETF (IR 2026 recommended copper miners basket) + FCG ETF (IR 2026 recommended natural gas exposure). Two ETFs that add commodity diversification against the portfolio's tech concentration. Both inflation hedges, both structural AI power demand beneficiaries.
COIN $15K · 1.4% Buy ≤ $175
MED PRIORITY — IR 2026 Theme 10 (MED conviction). COIN: dominant US-regulated crypto exchange. Benefits from Bitcoin ETF institutional flows and cleaner SEC regulatory environment. Earns fees regardless of which crypto asset wins. Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) as alternative for pure BTC exposure.
LLY $15K · 1.4% Buy ≤ $1,050
MED PRIORITY — IR 2026 Theme 06 (MED conviction). Eli Lilly tirzepatide (Zepbound) is capturing the obesity + diabetes market. Next-gen retatrutide in pipeline. OSCR and HIMS are adjacent plays — LLY is the actual drug manufacturer thesis per IR 2026. Small position rounds out the healthcare coverage.